From Fujian to New York: Understanding the New Chinese Immigration EconLit JB

2001
Liang, Zai ; Ye, Wenzhen Global human smuggling: Comparative perspectives (2001):

(This group of articles focus on the new immigration from China to the United States. "From Fujian to

New York: Understanding the New Chinese Immigration", the title of the collected work lends one to

believe that this book explains why this is occurring and how.)

Longterm prediction of catastrophic flood from solar-terrestrial hydrology GeoRef DH

2001
Dixue Qianyuan = Earth Science Frontiers 8, no. 1

Abstract: The author has been probing into longterm prediction of floods and droughts by combining

hydrology, geography, meteorology, oceanography, geophysics and astronomy for 40 years and

founded a new frontier discipline- solar-terrestrial hydrology on the basis of water circulation in the

Earth. This theory and prediction method revealing the essence and crux of appearance about

catastrophic flood have been successfully used many times, for the Yellow River in 1967, 1981 and

1982 and for the Yangtze River in 1981 and 1996. In the autumn of 1997, the author discovered the

water vapor of a catastrophic flood in Yangtze River, which was carried by a strong southwest

monsoon laden with moisture, starting from the Indian Ocean and was very closely relevant to high

temperature of sea surface. An important new physical model of oceanic forerunner is cooling of the

West Pacific Ocean and warming of the Indian Ocean along the equator of the Earth. Sunspot cycle

No. 22 is stronger than cycle No. 22. According to "strong cycle- wet climate, weak cycle - drought

climate in China", the author makes the comparison of sunspot relative number in the whole cycle and

for average year within the formula of solar-terrestrial hydrological similarity model and prediction that

the maximum peak discharge of flood from Yichang to Datong is 80 000 m (super 3) /s. A preliminary

prediction of this catastrophic flood was declared on September 6, 1988. Behind discovery of

systematical forerunners about high SST over the equatorial Indian Ocean (0-10 degrees N, 50-90

degrees E), rainstorms and floods in South-Eastern Africa and South Asia, heavy snow in Tibet,

winter rainstorms and floods in neighboring regions of Zhejiang, Fujian and Jiangxi Provinces of China

and especially the break record of highest level on January 1998 at Hankou for the past 133 years

also were predicted. A deterministic prediction and peak discharge quantitative forecast was

concluded and reported to the government on January 31, 1998. This prediction and forecast was

perfectly verified in August 1998. The paper involves four parts: (1) theory and method of longterm

prediction based on solar-terrestrial hydrology and applications for the most recent 30 years, (2)

prediction analysis of 1998 catastrophic flood for Yangtze River, such as basic concept, historical

survey, analysis of forerunners, deterministic prediction and quantitative forecast, (3) verifications of

Yangtze River flooding, (4) conclusion and discussion.



Why it's cool... For those non-geology majors out there, what this dude has done is developed a highly

complex model for catastrophic flooding in the Fujian region. As we have already heard about

previous floods in China killing hundreds of thousands of people, a predictive model would be

invaluable in the protection of the current inhabitants of the area.

Wednesday, October 01, 2003 Page 11 of 25
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